Underweight in young Japanese women over time: a longitudinal retrospective study of the change in body mass index from ages 6 to 20 years.

BACKGROUND: The high prevalence of underweight in young women has become a serious health problem in Japan. When and how young women reach a low body mass index (BMI) has not been clarified. AIM: To clarify the characteristics of BMI standard deviation scores (BMI SDS) trajectory of young Japanese women with underweight. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: A total of 601 Japanese female university students aged 20 years were classified into underweight and healthy weight groups. Their school health check-up data were available from the ages of 6 to 20 years. We evaluated the estimated mean values of BMI SDS at each age and differences in BMI SDS (ΔBMI SDS) from 6 years to each age using a mixed-effects model and compared between the two groups at each age. RESULTS: In the underweight group, the BMI SDS at every age (-1.67 to -0.91) and the ΔBMI SDS after 16 years of age (-0.76 to -0.38) were significantly lower than those in the healthy weight group (-0.41 to -0.13, -0.07 to 0.04), respectively. CONCLUSION: Young Japanese women with underweight have at least two characteristics of BMI SDS trajectory: being constitutionally underweight and shifting their weight status from baseline towards underweight in their late teens.

Pathologic significance of peribiliary capillary plexus in gallbladder neoplasm.

AIMS: Significance of peribiliary capillary plexus (PCP) in gallbladder neoplasms remains unclear. Aims are to characterize high-grade biliary intraepithelial neoplasm (BilIN), pyloric gland adenoma (PGA), and intracholecystic papillary neoplasm (ICPN), precursors of gallbladder carcinoma, and to differentiate invasive carcinoma from pseudo-invasive lesions in gallbladder walls, referring to PCP. MATERIALS AND METHODS: High-grade BilIN (38 cases), PGA (5 cases), and ICPN (25 cases) were examined using capillary immunostaining. Non-neoplastic gallbladders were used as controls. RESULTS: In non-neoplastic gallbladders, a single layer of regularly dotted capillaries (PCP) was located beneath lining epithelia and around non-neoplastic glands (NNGs), including Rokitansky-Aschoff sinus (RAS), presenting a two-layer of lining epithelia and PCP. Intra-luminal components of all cases of high-grade BilIN and PGA and one-third of ICPNs presented a two-layer pattern. In the remaining ICPNs, capillaries were irregular and sparse in intraluminal neoplastic components presenting irregular and complicated lesions. Neoplastic glands in gallbladder walls of high-grade BilIN and ICPN were classifiable into 2 types: glands that were underlain by densely dotted capillaries and those that were not, with the latter suggestive of invasive carcinoma, while the former suggestive of non-invasive neoplasms involving NNGs intraepithelially and/or showing an expanding growth into gallbladder wall (pseudo-invasion). CONCLUSION: A two-layer pattern of lining epithelia and underlining capillaries were preserved in all cases of high-grade BilIN and PGA and one-third of ICPN cases. Presence or absence of dotted capillaries around neoplastic glands may be able to be added as a new pathologic feature to differentiate invasive carcinomas from pseudo-invasion in gallbladder wall.

Expression of fibroblast growth factor receptor 2 (FGFR2) in combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: clinicopathological study.

Genetic alterations including fusions in fibroblast growth factor receptor 2 (FGFR2) are detected in 10-20% of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA), and FGFR2 inhibitors are effective for the treatment of iCCA. We examined a prevalence of FGFR2 genetic alterations and their clinicopathological significance in combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CCA). FGFR2 expression, which is a surrogate marker for FGFR2 genetic alterations, was immunohistochemically assessed in the liver sections from 75 patients with cHCC-CCA, 35 with small duct-type iCCA, 30 with large duct-type iCCA, and 35 with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). FGFR2 genetic alterations were detected by reverse transcription-PCR and direct sequence. An association of FGFR2 expression with clinicopathological features was investigated in cHCC-CCAs. FGFR2 expression was detected in significantly more patients with cHCC-CCA (21.3%) and small duct-type iCCA (25.7%), compared to those with large duct-type iCCA (3.3%) and HCC (0%) (p < 0.05). FGFR2-positive cHCC-CCAs were significantly smaller size (p < 0.05), with more predominant cholangiolocarcinoma component (p < 0.01) and less nestin expression (p < 0.05). Genetic alterations of ARID1A and BAP1 and multiple genes were significantly more frequent in FGFR2-positive cHCC-CCAs (p < 0.05). 5'/3' imbalance in FGFR2 genes indicating exon18-truncated FGFR2 was significantly more frequently detected in FGFR2-positive cHCC-CCAs and small duct iCCAs, compared to FGFR2-negative ones (p < 0.05). FGFR2::BICC fusion was detected in a case of cHCC-CCAs. FGFR2 genetic alterations may be prevalent in cHCC-CCAs as well as small duct-type iCCAs, which suggest cHCC-CCAs may also be a possible therapeutic target of FGFR2 inhibitors.

Upper Respiratory Symptoms as Long COVID: Insight from a Multicenter Cohort Study.

Objective: This study aimed to investigate the clinical features of long COVID cases presenting with upper respiratory symptoms, a topic not yet fully elucidated. Study Design: Prospective cohort study. Setting: A multicenter study involving 26 medical facilities in Japan. Methods: Inclusion criteria were patients aged ≥18 years old with a confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis via severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 polymerase chain reaction or antigen testing, who were hospitalized at the participating medical facilities. Analyzing clinical information and patient-reported outcomes from 1009 patients were analyzed. The outcome measured the degree of initial symptoms for taste or olfactory disorders and assessed the likelihood of these symptoms persisting as long COVID, as well as the impact on quality of life if the upper respiratory symptoms persisted as long COVID. Results: Patients with high albumin, low C-reactive protein, and low lactate dehydrogenase in laboratory tests tended to experience taste or olfactory disorders as part of long COVID. Those with severe initial symptoms had a higher risk of experiencing residual symptoms at 3 months, with an odds ratio of 2.933 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.282-6.526) for taste disorders and 3.534 (95% CI, 1.382-9.009) for olfactory disorders. Presence of upper respiratory symptoms consistently resulted in lower quality of life scores. Conclusion: The findings from this cohort study suggest that severe taste or olfactory disorders as early COVID-19 symptoms correlate with an increased likelihood of persistent symptoms in those disorders as long COVID.

Prevalence and clinical profiles of anti-myelin-associated glycoprotein neuropathy in Japan: A nationwide survey study of 133 patients.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of anti-myelin-associated glycoprotein (MAG) neuropathy and the current status of such patients in Japan. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide survey in 2021 using established epidemiological methods. Questionnaires were sent to all neurology and pediatric neurology departments throughout Japan to identify patients with anti-MAG neuropathy. An initial questionnaire was used to determine the number of patients, with a second one used to collect detailed clinical information. RESULTS: The estimated number of patients with anti-MAG neuropathy was 353, with a prevalence of 0.28 per 100,000 and an incidence of 0.05 per 100,000. The detailed clinical profiles of 133 patients were available. The median (range) age of onset was 67 (30-87) years, with a prominent peak in the age range 66-70 years, and the male-to-female ratio was 3.6. Most patients had distal sensory-predominant polyneuropathy, and neuropathic pain (50%), or sensory ataxia (42%), while 18% had Waldenström's macroglobulinemia or multiple myeloma. Intravenous immunoglobulin was the most frequently used treatment (65%), but the response rate was <50%, whereas rituximab was given in 32% of patients, and 64% of these showed improvement. At the last visit, 27% of patients could not walk independently. CONCLUSIONS: This study on anti-MAG neuropathy provides updated insights into the epidemiology of this disease, clinical profiles, and treatment approaches in Japan. Rituximab therapy, used for only one-third of the patients, demonstrated efficacy. During the final visit, a quarter of the patients were unable to walk independently. Further studies are warranted to determine the optimal management of this rare and intractable disorder.

Prevalence, Clinical Profiles, and Prognosis of CIDP in Japanese Nationwide Survey: Analyses of 1,257 Diagnosis-Confirmed Patients.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: To investigate the current epidemiology, clinical profile, and treatment of chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP) using a nationwide survey in Japan. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide survey using an epidemiologic method established in 2021. Questionnaire sheets were sent to the hospital departments of neurology and pediatric neurology throughout Japan. A primary questionnaire was used to determine the number of patients and their prevalence, and a second questionnaire was used to collect detailed clinical information. RESULTS: The primary survey showed that the estimated number of patients with CIDP was 4,180, with a prevalence of 3.3 per 100,000 persons. In the secondary survey, detailed clinical data were available for 1,257 patients. The male-to-female ratio was 1.5:1, and the median age at onset was 52 years. Typical CIDP was the most frequent subtype (52%), followed by distal (17%) and multifocal/focal CIDP (17%). Initial treatments included immunoglobulin therapy (72%), corticosteroids (15%), and others (13%). Among patients with CIDP, 78% had a progressive/relapsing course, 14% did not respond to first-line treatments, and 18% could not walk independently at the last visit. Among the subtypes, typical CIDP had the most severe disability before treatment (44% of patients could not walk independently). However, they showed a more favorable response to treatment than those with distal or multifocal CIDP. In the subgroup analyses, logistic regression analyses showed that younger age at onset, no muscle atrophy, and abnormal median-normal sural sensory nerve responses were associated with a higher probability of independent walking. DISCUSSION: Our study represents the largest cohort study on CIDP to demonstrate the current epidemiologic and clinical status of CIDP in Japan. Clinical subtypes seem to be associated with different treatment responses and outcomes; therefore, an appropriate treatment strategy according to the pathophysiology of each subtype is required to improve the prognosis of CIDP.

Surgical treatment in the chronic phase for uncomplicated Stanford type B aortic dissection.

BACKGROUND: The most appropriate surgical method for patients with uncomplicated type B aortic dissection (UTBAD) in the chronic phase remains controversial. This study evaluated the outcomes of patients with UTBAD who needed aortic treatment as well as the impact of the treatment method or indication criteria on their prognosis. METHODS: This retrospective review of 106 consecutive patients with aortic events in the chronic phase who underwent initial treatment for UTBAD between 2004 and 2021 comprised three groups: 19 patients who underwent endovascular repair (TEVAR), 38 who underwent open aortic repair and the medication group that included 49 patients. Aortic events were defined as a late operation or indication for operation for dissected aorta, aortic diameter (AD) ≥ 55 mm, rapid aortic enlargement (≥5 mm/6 months), and saccular aneurysmal change. The endpoint was all-cause death. We assessed the association between treatment methods or surgical indication criteria and mortality using a Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: The 5-year actuarial mortality rates were 27.1% in the TEVAR group, 19.6% in the open aortic repair group, and 38.4% in the medication group (p = 0.86). Moreover, the 5-year actuarial mortality rates in patients who had AD ≥ 55 mm were significantly higher than those patients with other surgical indication criteria (41.2% vs. 18.7%, p < 0.01). Multivariable analysis revealed a significant difference in AD ≥ 55 mm (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.88, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.38-6.02, p < 0.01) and age (HR: 1.09, 95% CI 1.05-1.13, p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Under the existing surgical indication criteria, there was no difference in mortality rates among patients with UTBAD based on their surgical treatment.

Cluster analysis of long COVID in Japan and association of its trajectory of symptoms and quality of life.

BACKGROUND: Multiple prolonged symptoms observed in patients who recovered from COVID-19 are defined as long COVID. Although diverse phenotypic combinations are possible, they remain unclear. This study aimed to perform a cluster analysis of long COVID in Japan and clarify the association between its characteristics and background factors and quality of life (QOL). METHODS: This multicentre prospective cohort study collected various symptoms and QOL after COVID-19 from January 2020 to February 2021. This study included 935 patients aged ≥18 years with COVID-19 at 26 participating medical facilities. Hierarchical cluster analysis was performed using 24 long COVID symptom at 3 months after diagnosis. RESULTS: Participants were divided into the following five clusters: numerous symptoms across multiple organs (cluster 1, n=54); no or minor symptoms (cluster 2, n=546); taste and olfactory disorders (cluster 3, n=76); fatigue, psychoneurotic symptoms and dyspnoea (low prevalence of cough and sputum) (cluster 4, n=207) and fatigue and dyspnoea (high prevalence of cough and sputum) (cluster 5, n=52). Cluster 1 included elderly patients with severe symptoms, while cluster 3 included young female with mild symptoms. No significant differences were observed in the comorbidities. Cluster 1 showed the most impaired QOL, followed by clusters 4 and 5; these changes as well as the composition of symptoms were observed over 1 year. CONCLUSIONS: We identified patients with long COVID with diverse characteristics into five clusters. Future analysis of these different pathologies could result in individualised treatment of long COVID. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: The study protocol is registered at UMIN clinical trials registry (UMIN000042299).

Exercise training outcomes in patients with chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction depend on patient background.

Background: The aim of this study was to identify significant factors affecting the effectiveness of exercise training using information of the HF-ACTION (Heart Failure: A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of Exercise Training) study. Methods: Background factors influencing the effect of exercise training were comprehensively surveyed for 2,130 patients by multivariable Cox regression analysis with the stepwise variable selection, and only significant factors were selected that were statistically distinguished from dummy noise factors using the Boruta method. Results: The analysis suggested that the use of beta-blockers, pulse pressure, hemoglobin level, electrocardiography findings, body mass index, and history of stroke at baseline potentially influenced the exercise effect on all-cause death (AD). Therefore, a hypothetical score to estimate the effect of exercise training was constructed based on the analysis. The analysis suggested that the score is useful in identifying patients for whom exercise training may be significantly effective in reducing all-caused death and hospitalization (ADH) as well as AD. Such a subpopulation accounted for approximately 40% of the overall study population. On the other hand, in approximately 45% of patients, the effect of exercise was unclear on either AD or ADH. In the remaining 15% of patients, it was estimated that the effect of exercise might be unclear for ADH and potentially rather increase AD. Conclusions: This study is the first analysis to comprehensively evaluate the effects of various factors on the outcome of exercise training in chronic heart failure, underscoring the need to carefully consider the patient's background before recommending exercise training. However, it should be noted that exercise training can improve many outcomes in a wide variety of diseases. Therefore, given the limitations involved in post-hoc analyses of a single clinical trial, the characteristics of patients to whom the results of this analysis can be applied need attention, and also further research is necessary on the relationship between the degree of exercise and the outcomes. A new clinical trial would be needed to confirm the factors detected and the appropriateness of the score.

Recurrence-free survival as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and surgery for oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Overall survival is considered as one of the most important endpoints of treatment efficacy but often requires long follow-up. This study aimed to determine the validity of recurrence-free survival as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival in patients with surgically resectable advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). METHODS: Patients with OSCC who received neoadjuvant cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil, or docetaxel, cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil, at 58 Japanese oesophageal centres certified by the Japan Esophageal Society were reviewed retrospectively. The correlation between recurrence-free and overall survival was assessed using Kendall's τ. RESULTS: The study included 3154 patients. The 5-year overall and recurrence-free survival rates were 56.6 and 47.7% respectively. The primary analysis revealed a strong correlation between recurrence-free and overall survival (Kendall's τ 0.797, 95% c.i. 0.782 to 0.812) at the individual level. Subgroup analysis showed a positive relationship between a more favourable pathological response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy and a higher τ value. In the meta-regression model, the adjusted R2 value at the institutional level was 100 (95% c.i. 40.2 to 100)%. The surrogate threshold effect was 0.703. CONCLUSION: There was a strong correlation between recurrence-free and overall survival in patients with surgically resectable OSCC who underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and this was more pronounced in patients with a better response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Risk Factors for Preoperative Pneumothorax in Neonates With Isolated Left-Sided Congenital Diaphragmatic Hernia: An International Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with isolated left-sided congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) who developed preoperative pneumothorax and determine its risk factors. METHODS: We performed an international cohort study of patients with CDH enrolled in the Congenital Diaphragmatic Hernia Study Group registry between January 2015 and December 2020. The main outcomes assessed included survival to hospital discharge and preoperative pneumothorax development. The cumulative incidence of pneumothorax was estimated by the Gray test. The Fine and Gray competing risk regression model was used to identify the risk factors for pneumothorax. RESULTS: Data for 2858 neonates with isolated left-sided CDH were extracted; 224 (7.8%) developed preoperative pneumothorax. Among patients with a large diaphragmatic defect, those with pneumothorax had a significantly lower rate of survival to discharge than did those without. The competing risks model demonstrated that a patent ductus arteriosus with a right-to-left shunt flow after birth (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.78; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.21-2.63; p = 0.003) and large defects (HR: 1.65; 95% CI: 1.13-2.42; p = 0.01) were associated with an increased risk of preoperative pneumothorax. Significant differences were observed in the cumulative incidence of pneumothorax depending on defect size and shunt direction (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Pneumothorax is a significant preoperative complication associated with increased mortality in neonates with CDH, particularly in cases with large defects. Large diaphragmatic defects and persistent pulmonary hypertension were found to be risk factors for preoperative pneumothorax development. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: LEVEL Ⅲ Retrospective Comparative Study.

Study Profile of the Tsuruoka Metabolomics Cohort Study (TMCS).

The Tsuruoka Metabolomics Cohort Study (TMCS) is an ongoing population-based cohort study being conducted in the rural area of Yamagata Prefecture, Japan. This study aimed to enhance the precision prevention of multi-factorial, complex diseases, including non-communicable and aging-associated diseases, by improving risk stratification and prediction measures. At baseline, 11,002 participants aged 35-74 years were recruited in Tsuruoka City, Yamagata Prefecture, Japan, between 2012 and 2015, with an ongoing follow-up survey. Participants underwent various measurements, examinations, tests, and questionnaires on their health, lifestyle, and social factors. This study used an integrative approach with deep molecular profiling to identify potential biomarkers linked to phenotypes that underpin disease pathophysiology and provide better mechanistic insights into social health determinants. The TMCS incorporates multi-omics data, including genetic and metabolomic analyses of 10,933 participants and comprehensive data collection ranging from physical, psychological, behavioral, and social to biological data. The metabolome is used as a phenotypic probe because it is sensitive to changes in physiological and external conditions. The TMCS focuses on collecting outcomes for cardiovascular disease, cancer incidence and mortality, disability, functional decline due to aging and disease sequelae, and the variation in health status within the body represented by omics analysis that lies between exposure and disease. It contains several sub-studies on aging, heated tobacco products, and women's health. This study is notable for its robust design, high participation rate (89%), and long-term repeated surveys. Moreover, it contributes to precision prevention in Japan and East Asia as a well-established multi-omics platform.

Impact of Tumor Subclassifications for Identifying an Appropriate Surgical Strategy in Patients with Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is subclassified into small and large duct types. The impact of these subclassifications for identifying appropriate surgical strategies remains unclear. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This study included 118 patients with ICC who underwent liver resection. Based on the pathological examination results, the participants were divided into the small duct-type ICC group (n = 64) and large duct-type ICC group (n = 54). The clinicopathological features and postoperative outcomes were compared between the two groups to investigate the impact of subclassification for selecting appropriate surgical strategies. RESULTS: Ten patients in the small duct-type ICC group had synchronous or metachronous hepatocellular carcinoma. The large duct-type ICC group had higher proportions of patients who underwent major hepatectomy, extrahepatic bile duct resection, portal vein resection, and lymph node sampling or dissection than the small duct-type ICC group. The large duct-type ICC group had significantly higher incidences of lymph node metastasis/recurrence and pathological major vessel invasion than the other. The small duct-type ICC group exhibited significantly higher recurrence-free and overall survival rates than the large duct-type ICC group. Further, the large duct-type ICC group had a significantly higher incidence of lymph node metastasis/recurrence than the small duct-type ICC at the perihilar region group. CONCLUSIONS: Suitable surgical strategies may differ between the small and large duct-type ICCs. In patients with large duct-type ICCs, hepatectomy with lymph node dissection and/or biliary reconstruction should be considered, whereas hepatectomy without these advanced procedures can be suggested for patients with small duct-type ICCs.

Development and validation of a new asthma questionnaire to help achieve a high level of control in school-age children and adolescents.

BACKGROUND: Maintaining good asthma control minimizes the risk of exacerbations and lung function decline and is a primary goal of asthma management. The Japanese Pediatric Asthma Guidelines (JPGL) employs different classification criteria for control status from other guidelines, stressing a higher level of control. Based on JPGL, we previously developed a caregiver-completed questionnaire for assessing and achieving best asthma control in preschoolers. In this study, we aimed to develop a questionnaire for school-age children and adolescents. METHODS: A working questionnaire comprising 14 items for patients and 34 items for caregivers was administered to 362 asthma patients aged 6-15 years and their caregivers. Separately, physicians filled out a questionnaire to determine JPGL-defined control. Logistic regression analysis was performed to construct a model to predict control levels using data from a randomly selected set of completed questionnaires from two-thirds of the subjects. Validation was performed using the remaining questionnaires. RESULTS: A set of 7 questions, encompassing self-assessed control status at the time of the visit and in the past month, and nocturnal/early morning asthma symptoms for patients and frequency of asthma symptoms, dyspnea, rescue beta-agonist use, and asthma hospitalization for caregivers, were selected and the 7-item model showed a good statistical fit with AIC of 110.5. The model has been named the Best Asthma Control Test for School Children and Adolescents (Best ACT-S). Best ACT-S scores differed significantly in the hypothetical direction among the groups of different JPGL-defined control levels, step-up/down treatment decisions, and presence/non-presence of exacerbations in the previous year. CONCLUSIONS: The Best ACT-S is a valid questionnaire for children/adolescents aiming for best asthma control.

Secular trends and age-specific distribution of blood pressure in Japanese adolescents aged 12-18 years in 2000-2019.

Adolescent blood pressure is a predictor of future risk for hypertension and cardiovascular diseases, and therefore its status needs to be accurately determined. However, limited evidence is available regarding the secular trends and distribution of adolescent blood pressure. In the present study, we assessed the secular trends and age-specific distributions of blood pressure in Japanese adolescents aged 12-18 years by using data drawn from 20 years of annual health checkups conducted between 2000 and 2019. Participants underwent health checkups every year for three years at the same school and the data were divided into four 5-year cycles: 2000-2004, 2005-2009, 2010-2014, and 2015-2019. From a total of 124,460 records (33,496 individuals) retrieved, 3000 records (3000 individuals) from each year-cycle were randomly selected to avoid duplicating data from the same individuals. In the study period, in males systolic blood pressure showed a decreasing trend over time, whereas in females diastolic blood pressure showed an increasing trend. Subgroup analyses by school category (junior/senior high school) and by obesity category showed similar blood pressure trends as in the overall analysis. Age-specific blood pressure values in Japanese adolescents increased with age in males but not in females. Thus, different patterns of change in blood pressure values over the past 20 years were observed between males and females. Age-specific blood pressure distributions are also presented. Together, these findings will be useful for understanding blood pressure trends among adolescents.

Decision Tree Analysis Accurately Predicts Discharge Destination After Spinal Cord Injury Rehabilitation.

OBJECTIVES: To predict discharge destination after spinal cord injury (SCI) rehabilitation. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective, single-center study. We collected the following data from medical charts: age, sex, living arrangement before injury, acute length of stay (LOS), level of injury on admission, American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale (AIS) on admission, Upper Extremity Motor Score (UEMS) on admission, Lower Extremity Motor Score on admission (LEMS), Spinal Cord Independence Measure (SCIM) scores on admission and discharge, and discharge destination. A decision tree algorithm was used to establish prediction models in a train-test split manner using features on admission or discharge. SETTING: A spinal center in Tokyo, Japan. PARTICIPANTS: Participants were individuals with SCI admitted to our hospital from March 2016 to October 2021 for the first rehabilitation after the injury. The study included 210 participants divided into 2 groups: training (n=140) and testing (n=70). Random sampling without replacement was used. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prediction accuracy was evaluated with sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and area under the receiver operating curve (AUC). RESULTS: AIS was significantly different between the groups. The prediction model using total SCIM scores on discharge (D-Classification and Regression Tree [CART]) revealed that a cut-off value of 40 accurately predicted the discharge destination. In contrast, the prediction model using features on admission (A-CART) revealed that subtotal SCIM mobility scores of 5, age of 74 years, and UEMS of 23 were significant predictors. Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and AUC of D-CART and A-CART were 0.837, 0.810, 0.911, 0.680, and 0.832 and 0.857, 0.810, 0.913, 0.708, and 0.869, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: D-CART and A-CART showed comparable prediction accuracies. This suggests that, even during the early stages of rehabilitation, it is possible to predict the discharge destination.

Functional Outcome Prediction After Spinal Cord Injury Using Ensemble Machine Learning.

OBJECTIVES: To establish a machine learning model to predict functional outcomes after SCI with Spinal Cord Independence Measure (SCIM) using features present at the time of rehabilitation admission. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective, single-center study. The following data were collected from the medical charts: age, sex, acute length of stay (LOS), level of injury, American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale (AIS), motor scores of each key muscle, Upper Extremity Motor Score (UEMS), Lower Extremity Motor Score (LEMS), SCIM total scores, and subtotal scores on admission and discharge. Based on the multivariate linear regression analysis, age, acute LOS, UEMS, LEMS, and SCIM subtotal scores were selected as features for machine learning algorithms. Random forest, support vector machine, neural network, and gradient boosting were used as the base models and combined using ridge regression as a metamodel. SETTING: A spinal center in Tokyo, Japan. PARTICIPANTS: Participants were individuals with SCI admitted to our hospital from March 2016 to October 2021 for the first rehabilitation after the injury. They were divided into 2 groups: training (n=140) and testing (n=70). INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The root-mean-square error (RMSE), R2, and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) were used as accuracy measures. RESULTS: RMSE, R2, and MAE of the meta-model using the testing group were 9.7453, 0.8835, and 7.4743, respectively, outperforming any other single base model. CONCLUSIONS: Our study revealed that functional prognostication could be achieved using machine-learning methods with features present at the time of rehabilitation admission. Goals can be set at the beginning of rehabilitation. Moreover, our model can be used to evaluate advanced medical treatments, such as regenerative medicine.

Calcium channel blockers may reduce the development of long COVID in females.

With the rising numbers of patients infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, long coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-a sequelae of COVID-19-has become a major problem. Different sexes and age groups develop different long COVID symptoms, and the risk factors for long COVID remain unclear. Therefore, we performed subgroup analyses of patients with COVID-19, classifying them into different groups. In this multicenter cohort study, using an original questionnaire, we examined patients (≥18 years old) diagnosed with COVID-19 from November 2020 to March 2022 and hospitalized at participating medical facilities. In total, 1066 patients were registered (361 female, 620 male). Hypertension was the most common comorbidity (n = 344; 32.5%). Females with hypertension were significantly less likely to develop long COVID symptoms than those without hypertension (odds ratio [OR] 0.51, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.27-0.98; p = 0.043). In females, Ca channel blocker administration, rather than having hypertension, was significantly associated with reductions in the frequency of alopecia (OR 0.14, 95% CI 0.03-0.67, p = 0.015), memory impairment (OR 0.14, 95% CI 0.02-0.82, p = 0.029), sleeping disorders (OR 0.17, 95% CI 0.04-0.67, p = 0.012), tinnitus (OR 0.23, 95% CI 0.05-0.98, p = 0.047), sputum (OR 0.31, 95% CI 0.10-0.92, p = 0.035), and fever (OR 0.33, 95% CI 0.12-0.93, p = 0.036). Several long COVID symptoms, including alopecia, were significantly negatively associated with Ca channel-blocker administration in female patients with long COVID. Calcium channel blockers may reduce the development of long COVID in females.

What Are the Complication Rates and Factors Associated With Total Femur Replacement After Tumor Resection? Findings From the Japanese Musculoskeletal Oncology Group.

BACKGROUND: Patients undergoing massive tumor resection and total femur replacement (TFR) face a substantial risk of hip dislocation and infection, often resulting in multiple implant revisions or hip disarticulation. These complications can impact their independence and prognosis. Additionally, their shorter life expectancy is influenced by challenges in achieving local radical resection and controlling metastases. Identifying suitable candidates for TFR is vital, necessitating investigations into dislocation, infection, implant failure rates, local recurrence, overall survival, and associated factors. QUESTIONS/PURPOSES: (1) What is the postsurgical complication (hip dislocation and infection) rate and factors associated with postsurgical complications in patients who underwent TFR after tumor resection? (2) What is the local recurrence rate, implant failure rate, overall survival rate, and factors associated with local recurrence and implant failure? METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated 42 patients (median [range] age 47 years [10 to 79 years]) who underwent TFR and tumor resection at the time of the same surgical procedure between 1990 and 2020 at 12 registered institutions that specialized in tumor treatment in Japan. A total of 55% (23) of the patients were men, and 79% (33) had bone sarcoma. The median (range) follow-up period was 36.5 months (2 to 327 months). Of the 42 patients, 12% (5) were lost to follow-up before 2 years without meeting a study endpoint (postsurgical complications, revision, or amputation), and another 19% (8) died before 2 years with implants intact, leaving 69% (29) of the original group who had either follow-up of at least 2 years or met a study endpoint before the minimum surveillance duration. Another 10% (4) had a minimum of 2 years of follow-up but had not been seen in the past 5 years. Infection was defined as deep-seated infection involving soft tissues, bones, joints, and the area around the implant. We did not consider superficial infections. Implant failure was defined when a patient underwent reimplantation or amputation. The complication and implant failure rates were assessed by the cumulative incidence function method, considering competing events. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the overall survival rate. RESULTS: The 1-month, 6-month, 1-year, and 2-year dislocation rates were 5%, 12%, 14%, and 14%, respectively. The 1-month, 6-month, 1-year, and 2-year infection rates were 5%, 7%, 10%, and 15%, respectively. Multivariable analyses for hip dislocation and infection revealed that resection of the abductor muscles and large tumor size were positively associated with hip dislocation. The 6-month, 1-year, and 2-year local recurrence rates were 5%, 15%, and 15%, respectively. The 6-month, 1-year, 2-year, and 5-year implant failure rates were 5% (95% confidence interval 1% to 15%), 7% (95% CI 2% to 18%), 16% (95% CI 6% to 29%), and 16% (95% CI 6% to 29%), respectively. Multivariable analyses of local recurrence and implant failure that led to reimplantation or amputation revealed that a positive surgical margin was positively associated with local recurrence. The 1-year, 2-year, and 5-year overall patient survival rates were 95% (95% CI 87% to 102%), 77% (95% CI 64% to 91%), and 64% (95% CI 48% to 81%), respectively. CONCLUSION: Hip dislocation, infection, and local recurrence were frequently observed in patients who received massive tumor resection and TFR in our study, eventually leading to reimplantation or amputation. Preserving the abductor muscles and resecting the tumor with a wide margin can prevent postoperative dislocation and local recurrence. Future research should focus on patient selection criteria, prevention of hip dislocation, and innovative treatments. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level IV, therapeutic study.